Currently there are bloated inventories for components like memory, small case-size ceramic capacitors and automotive MCUs, but FPGAs, analogue ICs, power MOSFETs, MCUs and discretes remain constrained and costly.

In Q3, lead times for all electronic components will reduce compared to Q3 2022 with nearly 60% of component lead times decreasing versus 1% in Q3 22 with none expected to increase compared to 73% in Q3 22.

Despite inventory reductions that will likely be complete by the end of H1, IC orders, wafer starts, and capacity utilisation will begin to rise and memory pricing will reach its bottom in H2. DRAM prices will start to recover in Q3 and NAND pricing will follow in Q4  or early in 2024.